Ross' grand slam caps Braves' big inning in win over Mets
Baseball Betting Lines
08/31/2010 - Atlanta, GA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - David Ross' first career grand slam capped a seven-run fifth inning as the Atlanta Braves clobbered the New York Mets, 9-2, in the second of a four-game set.
Derrek Lee went 3-for-3 with an RBI and a run scored while Jason Heyward added a two-run double for the Braves, who have won four straight.
Mike Minor (3-0) lasted five innings in the start and was charged with two runs on seven hits with three walks and four strikeouts for Atlanta, which moved its lead over Philadelphia for first place in the NL East to 3 1/2 games. Philadelphia plays the Dodgers in Los Angeles on Tuesday.
Jeff Francoeur and Henry Blanco each drove in a run for the Mets, who have dropped five of their last seven. Jon Niese (8-7) was tagged for eight runs -- three earned -- on 10 hits with two walks and six strikeouts over 4 2/3 innings.
Lee doubled to lead off the second for Atlanta and moved to third on a sacrifice bunt from Matt Diaz, but he was stranded there as Alex Gonzalez grounded out and Melky Cabrera struck out to end the frame.
Ross led off the Atlanta third with a triple, but the team was unable to bring him home as the next three batters were retired.
The Mets had men at first and second with two outs in the fourth, but Niese struck out to end the frame.
The Braves finally got on the scoreboard in the bottom of the fourth as Martin Prado led off with a double and came home on Lee's single to left for a 1-0 lead.
The Mets, though, responded with two runs in the fifth as sacrifice flys from Francoeur and Blanco gave the team a 2-1 lead.
Atlanta answered with a seven-run fifth inning to surge ahead. With two on and no outs, Heyward chased home both runners with a double. Atlanta then loaded the bases, and a Gonzalez single scored one, with Martin Prado getting thrown out at the plate. After Cabrera walked to again load the bases, Ross hit a line drive shot over the left field fence for a grand slam and an 8-2 lead.
The Braves tacked on another run in the seventh as Cabrera's double scored Diory Hernandez for a 9-2 lead.
After scoring in the fifth, the Mets failed to get another runner on base the rest of the game.
Game Notes
Atlanta has now won seven of the 13 matchups with New York this season...Minor has won his past three starts...Niese fell to 1-1 in four career starts against the Braves...The Mets went 0-for-5 with runners in scoring position and stranded eight.
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Sportsbooks to bet on football
Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.
He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.
"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.
He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.
Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.
Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.
Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.
Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.
With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.
Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).
And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)
The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.
While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.
Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.
One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.
Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.
What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.
That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.
MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.
"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.
"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."
So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.
In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.
MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.
The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.
Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.
MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.
To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.